Who is going to win this year's Open Golf Championship? Ryder Cup?

Normally I would predict that Tiger will win the Open, but I don't think he will win it this year. Too many distractions. I'm thinking that a European will win it this year. Padraig Harrington would be a good choice to win his 3rd Open. My 2nd choice would be Ian Poulter. He's due to win a biggie. I can't wait for the Ryder Cup. I'll be rooting hard for the USA, but Europe will be very tough to beat on their home turf. They're tough to beat anywhere. I'd have to go with Europe to win the Cup this year, but it will be very close. Something like 14 1/2 to 13 1/2. Kenny Perry is my choice to win the Masters.